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バンクーバー 2018/12/10 14:50:24
Forest fires in the west have been increasing in size and possibly severity for several decades. The increase in fire has prompted multiple investigations into both the causes and consequences of this shift for communities, ecosystems, and climate. Climate changes and human activities have both contributed to the observed changes in fire, but understanding the nature and magnitude of these impacts has been challenging first because there is substantial ecological heterogeneity and variability in terms of vegetation, soils, hydrology, topography, and other factors that affect fire regimes across the west, and second because most fire-history data come from recent decades and centuries when climate and human activities have both undergone rapid and unique transformations. As a result, studies tend to focus either on local ecological and anthropogenic factors that drive fire at fine scales, or on climatic influences at broad scales. Furthermore, the limited temporal scope of many fire-history studies does not provide adequate context for examining the joint impacts of climate and human activities on broad-scale, long-term fire regime changes. In addition, projections of future climate change and its ecosystem impacts place the expected changes well outside the range of variations in the past few centuries. Thus, coupling multi-decadal-to millennial-scale data on fire, climate changes, and human activities can reveal linkages among these components that are often missed in studies restricted to finer scales or fewer factors.
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